Initial Taliban moves fail to convince Afghanistan’s neighbours
The Taliban’s record in recent weeks on making good on promises to respect human and women’s rights as well as uphold freedom of the press is mixed at best.
18 September 2021, 18:00 PM
Afghanistan has lessons for the Gulf
The US withdrawal from Afghanistan will likely clarify what the Gulf’s security options are.
6 September 2021, 18:00 PM
Af-Pak takes on a new meaning with the rise of the Taliban
Recent attacks on Kabul’s international airport by the Islamic State’s Afghan affiliate raise multiple questions, as well as the spectre of paradigm shifts in the drivers and expanding geography of political violence.
31 August 2021, 18:00 PM
Afghan debacle potentially puts UAE on the spot
Afghanistan is showing the United Arab Emirates the downside of being a haven for deposed leaders and exiled politicians whose wealth is reportedly parked without question in Emirati financial institutions.
23 August 2021, 18:00 PM
Afghanistan may be a bellwether for Saudi-Iranian rivalry
Boasting an almost 1,000-kilometre border with Iran and a history of troubled relations between the Iranians and Sunni Muslim militants, including the Taliban, Afghanistan could become a bellwether for the future of the rivalry between the Islamic Republic and Saudi Arabia.
4 August 2021, 18:00 PM
Forging a future with rather than against Iran
The rise of hardline President-elect Ebrahim Raisi has prompted some analysts to counterintuitively suggest that it could pave the way for reduced
26 June 2021, 18:00 PM
A possible obstacle to the revival of the Iran nuclear accord
A little acknowledged provision of the 2015 international agreement that curbed Iran’s nuclear programme explains jockeying by the United States and the Islamic republic over the modalities of a US return to the deal from which President Donald J Trump withdrew.
28 February 2021, 18:00 PM
Myanmar: Exploiting lessons learnt in the Middle East
Demonstrating for the third week their determination to force the country’s military to return to its barracks, protesters in Myanmar appear to be learning lessons from a decade of protest in the Middle East and North Africa.
24 February 2021, 18:00 PM
Turkey signals sweeping regional ambitions
A nationalist Turkish television station with close ties to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has dug up a 12-year-old map that projects Turkey’s sphere of influence in 2050 as stretching from South-eastern Europe on the northern coast of the Mediterranean and Libya on its southern shore across North Africa, the Gulf and the Levant into the Caucasus and Central Asia.
23 February 2021, 18:00 PM
Islamophobia: A useful prop for Muslim religious soft power
Think the Muslim world is united in opposing Islamophobia? Think twice.
30 January 2021, 18:00 PM
Iranians move into front line of Middle East’s quest for religious change
A recent online survey by scholars at two Dutch universities of Iranian attitudes towards religion has revealed a stunning rejection of state-imposed adherence to conservative religious mores as well as the role of religion in public life.
27 January 2021, 18:00 PM
Erdogan positions powerful Turkish military as backbone of regional strategy
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ushered in the new year pledging to employ his country’s military to secure Turkey’s place in a rebalanced new world order.
5 January 2021, 18:00 PM
Turkish shadow boxing reflects growing rivalry with Iran
Turkey is leveraging its successful backing of Azerbaijan’s recent war against Armenia to counter Iran in the Caucasus and gradually challenge Russia in Central Asia, the heart of what Moscow considers its backyard.
21 December 2020, 18:00 PM
The Muslim world’s changing dynamics
Increasing strains between Pakistan and its traditional Arab allies, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, is about more than Gulf states opportunistically targeting India’s far more lucrative market.
2 December 2020, 18:00 PM
Saudi rushes to improve its image in advance of G20 and Biden
Saudi Arabia has taken multiple steps to polish its tarnished image in advance of this weekend’s hosting of the virtual summit of the G20 that groups the world’s foremost economies and in anticipation of an incoming Biden administration in the United States that is expected to be critical of Riyadh and potentially more conciliatory towards Iran and non-violent Islamists.
21 November 2020, 18:00 PM
UAE and Israeli settlers find common ground in Jerusalem
Weakened by Joe Biden’s electoral defeat of US President Donald J. Trump, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu risks being caught between a rock and a hard place as Jordan, the Palestine Authority and the United Arab Emirates manoeuvre for control of what is to Jews the Temple Mount and to Muslims the Haram ash-Sharif, the third most holy site in Islam.
18 November 2020, 18:00 PM
Conflict in Ethiopia extends the Greater Middle East’s arc of crisis
Ethiopia, an African darling of the international community, is sliding towards civil war as the coronavirus pandemic hardens ethnic fault lines. The consequences of prolonged hostilities could echo across East Africa, the Middle East and Europe.
6 November 2020, 18:00 PM
UAE and Turkey’s competition to shape Palestinian politics
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan didn’t miss a beat during his address to the United Nations General Assembly, insisting that he, unlike the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, would not accept a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that is not endorsed by the Palestinians.
29 September 2020, 18:00 PM
China could signal increased engagement with Iran but doesn’t
Here are two potential indicators of Chinese interest in moving ahead with a proposed USD 400 billion economic and military cooperation agreement with Iran: a Chinese push for Iranian membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and renewed interest in a China-Pakistan-Iran-Turkey energy pipeline. China has moved on neither.
9 September 2020, 18:00 PM
UAE geopolitical gamble keeps Palestinian peace prospects on life support
Like it or not, the United Arab Emirates may have done the Palestinians a favour by forging diplomatic ties with Israel. On the face of it, the agreement deprives the Palestinians of a perceived trump card: Arab recognition in return for Israeli withdrawal from territories occupied during the 1967 Middle East war even if it has not proven to be much of an asset.
3 September 2020, 18:00 PM