Japan’s economy rebounds on solid spending

Reuters, Tokyo

Japan's economy rebounded in the final three months of 2021 as falling coronavirus cases helped prop up consumption, though rising raw material costs and a spike in new Omicron variant infections cloud the outlook.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda also highlighted escalating tensions in Ukraine as a fresh risk to the central bank's forecast for a moderate economic recovery.

The world's third-largest economy expanded an annualised 5.4 per ent in October-December after contracting a revised 2.7 per cent in the previous quarter, government data showed on Tuesday, falling short of a median market forecast for a 5.8 per cent gain.

Some analysts expect the economy to slump again in the current quarter as rising Covid-19 cases keep households from shopping and supply chain disruptions hit factory output.

"The economy will likely stall in January-March or it could even contract, depending on how the Omicron variant affects service-sector consumption," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute.

Economic growth was driven largely by a 2.7 per cent quarter-on-quarter rise in private consumption, which accounts for more than half of Japan's gross domestic product (GDP).

The expansion in consumer spending, which was bigger than market forecasts for a 2.2 per cent gain, came after Japan ended coronavirus curbs in October.